Let’s be blunt: Celta Vigo's current form is alarming. They are not just struggling; they are in a tailspin, failing to collect any points recently. The absence of pivotal players like Miguel Román, C. Starfelt, and Iago Aspas due to injuries compounds their issues. This depletion in squad strength essentially forces Celta to adopt a more defensive posture, which could stifle their attacking capabilities.
Now, consider Alaves. While they too are in poor form, their impact score of 2 indicates they are less affected by squad issues. This could provide them with a slight advantage, especially if they can exploit Celta's defensive frailties. The tactical setup for both teams is likely to mirror each other, with a preference for a 4-2-3-1 formation, which emphasizes defensive solidity. This alignment suggests a match characterized by low scoring, as both teams will likely prioritize not conceding over pushing for goals.
Moreover, the xG analysis indicates parity in attacking and defensive metrics. Celta Vigo's defense concedes an xG of 1.07, while Alaves’ attack operates at 1.19. This slight edge for Alaves is not enough to suggest a clear winner but does highlight a potential for them to capitalize on Celta's weaknesses.
Overall, the tactical landscape points towards a cautious encounter, where both teams are likely to focus on solidifying their defenses rather than taking risks in attack.