Value Bets from the minor leagues

Value Bets from the minor leagues

Despite the fact that on Friday there will be a lot of games in the top leagues, today my choice fell on the minor leagues. A good bet is that generate profit, as we all know, money does not stink. First take a look at such an exotic tournament as the Polish Liga 1.

Stal Mielec v MKS Chojniczanka Chojnice – Stal Mielec to Win @ 2.90

The leader goes on a visit to the average performer, but the guests may have some problems today. Chojnice were able to win just 4 games of 12 on the road and it speaks volume. Stal Mielec’s home record is better as the hosts have managed 6 wins of 13 games on own ground. Guests managed to play 14 draws in 24 rounds, it’s 58%! Let’s add here the fact that Chojnice have seven draws in a row and make a simple conclusion – today one of the sides must prevail! The probability of a draw is minimal which means that the value in the bets to win. Who will be stronger? Despite the status of the teams, I will give the advantage to the hosts. After a terrible season’s start (ten rounds without wins) they are in a good form at the moment, winning 9 of the last 13 matches. Stal Mielec have not lost five rounds and in three of them have not conceded goals. After overcoming the crisis they have managed to win six of eight home games and did not lost to anyone from the top of the standings on their ground, conceding only one goal in five games with the leaders. Chojnice plays bad against the strong teams on the road and the last draws indicate that they are not able to meet the challenges.

Valenciennes v Troyes – Troyes Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ 3.75

There are just seven rounds left until the end of the season and Troyes risk to stay without promotion, and after all they perhaps the strongest club of the league! After a prolonged crisis with only two wins in 11 rounds the guests finally have shown high-quality football. Guests have scored 13 (!) goals in the last four games and today the hosts’ defense will face a serious challenge. Valenciennes looks confused, the team have lost three games in a row and all meetings with the leaders ended in defeats. Today they will lose for the fourth time, but most likely they will be able to score.

And do not forget that my Mama always said…

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