NHL Play-Offs Semi Final predictions

Madness or bonanza?

There are NHL semi-finals ahead! I am not Don Corleone, but I’m gonna make you an offer you can’t refuse! What if I told you that I can get a sure profit from upcoming semi-finals? You say wait, that can’t be right! Yes, nobody could give 100% guarantees, but I am confident that we will achieve success here. It’s worth the risk! I propose to analyse semi-finals of a few previous NHL seasons. There is no point in using statistics for many years, as everything changes and hockey is no exception! There’s enough small event horizon to find the trend line, let it become the last seven seasons. So, here are the results of the semi-finals (the names of the teams do not matter to us!)

2015/2016 4-3, 4-2 ; 2014/2015 4-3, 4-3 ; 2013/2014 4-3, 4-2 ; 2012/2013 4-0, 4-1 ; 2012/2011 4-2, 4-1 ; 2011/2010 4-3, 4-1 ; 2010/2009 4-1, 4-0

As you can see from the statistics above, only in two of fourteen semi-finals one of the teams could not win at least one game. Let the event horizon is small, but we can still say with certainty that the probability of winning any team at least in one game of the series is 86%. This is a very attractive rate! Such a probability can be expressed at the odds 1.16.

Let’s say we believe that in the upcoming semi-finals each team will be able to win at least one game. But how we can use that confirmation? The answer is obvious – we will bet on winning each team until it wins. If the team continues to lose, we will enhance stake to the required amount in order to get a guaranteed profit. The task before us is simple – to win on each team ₤50, that’s all we need to earn ₤200 sure profit. Let’s start!

First leg:

Nashville Predators @ Anaheim Ducks. Match Winner: Nashville Predators @ 2.25 Stake ₤40

Nashville Predators @ Anaheim Ducks. Match Winner: Anaheim Ducks @ 1.75 Stake ₤67

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins. Match Winner: Ottawa Senators @ 3.02 @ Stake ₤25

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins. Match Winner: Pittsburgh Penguins @ 1.46 Stake ₤109