KSV 1919 v SV Horn prediction

Austrian puzzle

KSV 1919 v SV Horn prediction. A strange match will be held in Austria ADEG Erste Liga today! What could draw my attention to a mediocre duel in a far from the most popular division? The answer is simple – an amazing odds movement. So, Kapfenberger will meet a weaker opponent at home, what naturally makes the hosts an obvious favorite, but it doesn’t… Yes, may be the Falcons are not in the best form at the moment, but they have lost only two games in the last eight rounds and scored a lot, in the previous game they were able to score three goals on the road against strong Wacker Innsbruck. It seems that everything is alright with the team and the guests look poor and weak having lost last four games. With all this bookmakers offered almost even odds for the success of the sides at first, but then bettors placed their money just for a few hours on the guests and now we see @ 2.50 instead of @ 3.10.

That’s very interesting considering that Horn are the worst team in the league on the road. Moreover, just look at H2H statistics:

30.09.16 KSV 1919 – Horn 1:0

08.05.15 KSV 1919 – Horn 3:2

08.08.14 KSV 1919 – Horn 0:0

23.05.14 KSV 1919 – Horn 2:0

30.08.13 KSV 1919 – Horn 3:1

23.04.13 KSV 1919 – Horn 2:1

27.07.12 KSV 1919 – Horn 3:3

There are no reasons to bet on the guests, but based on the betting line and odds movement, most of the bettors, and most importantly, most of the big money goes with Horn. One might think that the Falcons could gift points to the opponent, but they are under pressure and still struggling for survival. My money says that in such situation it is better to go against the crowd. I daresay that there will be an ‘unfair game’ and bookmakers will benefit from bets on the guests. I will take risks and fly with the falcons!

And do not forget that my Mama always said…

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